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Strange Days July 7'th, 2011 - CL.Q11


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What appears to be a massive arbitrage algorithm involving the NYMEX Crude Oil futures (CL) and ETF symbols USO, UCO, and SCO, began executing at 13:35:43.850 and ended about 5 seconds later. The August futures contract (CL Q11) cleared out both sides of the depth of book 4 times.

At first sight, the oscillations in the CL future appear somewhat similar to the oscillations from another algorithm involving natural gas on June 8, 2011. However, on closer inspection, this is something entirely different.

This is an event that regulators need to spend time taking apart and analyzing in detail. It will be well worth it, because there are similarities with algorithms that cause disturbances in the equity market via arbitrage between the S&P future and the equity ETFs SPY, IWM, QQQ, etc (one of those disturbances resulted in the "flash crash"). Someone has a distinct speed advantage and is taking full advantage of it.

Here are some images we've captured so far.


CL.Q11 - AUGUST 2011 CRUDE OIL

Trade and Quote Prices/Sizes:



Zoom in, Price Only:


Symbol UCO, PROSHARES ULTRA DJ UBS CRUDE



Symbol USO, UNITED STATES OIL FUND LP:



Symbol SCO, PROSHARES ULTRA SHORT DJ UBS



CL.Q11 - AUGUST 2011 CRUDE OIL


Symbol UCO, PROSHARES ULTRA DJ UBS CRUDE


Symbol USO, UNITED STATES OIL FUND LP:


Symbol SCO, PROSHARES ULTRA SHORT DJ UBS



CL.Q11 - AUGUST 2011 CRUDE OIL





















Inquiries: pr@nanex.net

Publication Date: 07/07/2011
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